CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ce7a265853838571684e9b584f7c92026597cc0c829a5adbcdd7af2825b6e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $417,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked 9z | 45c | 42,813$19,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,104.6 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 9z | 15c | 41,136$6,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,260.44 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.95 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed 9z | 35c | 27,163$9,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,406.19 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 25,997$14,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,698.5 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked 9z | 44c | 11,086$4,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.81 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 10,074$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.71 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked 9z | 32c | 9,253$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.49 | 222 | 30.2%67 W · 155 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 9,000$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.23 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 8,231$5,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.78 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 9z | 43c | 6,216$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 6,157$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.53 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 6,000$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 5,747$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.8 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed 9z | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 233 | 43.8%102 W · 131 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 4,698$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.85 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 4,500$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.97 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…8d0bbacked 9z | 44c | 4,450$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 9z | 27c | 3,980$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.54 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 3,660$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.51 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed 9z | 44c | 3,598$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.27 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed 9z | 45c | 3,147$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.09 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed 9z | 50c | 3,048$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 9z | 24c | 2,124$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.17 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,110$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 2,082$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.26 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 9z | 30c | 2,059$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.34 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aeb…12b2backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,044$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 2,020$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked 9z | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked 9z | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed 9z | 49c | 1,926$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.09 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed 9z | 29c | 1,751$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.42 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,666$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.07 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed 9z | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 1,511$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.83 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed 9z | 45c | 1,481$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,465$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.62 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 9z | 32c | 1,391$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.72 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,370$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.48 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked 9z | 40c | 1,347$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.72 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 9z | 19c | 1,229$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,228$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.02 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,221$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.63 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,165$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.96 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,075$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.64 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 1,073$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.34 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked 9z | 18c | 1,017$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,001$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.09 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 9z | 12c | 968.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked 9z | 39c | 955.63$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.14 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked 9z | 45c | 943.76$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.74 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 925.53$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.04 | 180 | 60.6%109 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 881.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.02 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 9z | 50c | 877.99$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.91 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 877.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed 9z | 44c | 861.7$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.15 | 155 | 33.5%52 W · 103 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 9z | 14c | 842.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 356 | 43%153 W · 203 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 9z | 23c | 836.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.03 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed 9z | 48c | 835.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed 9z | 37c | 831.35$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.41 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 797.17$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked 9z | 30c | 739.52$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.64 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed 9z | 44c | 736.36$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 9z | 44c | 713.46$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.28 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed 9z | 6c | 704.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 692.92$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.89 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 208 | 54.8%114 W · 94 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…756bbacked 9z | 20c | 627.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…0176backed 9z | 32c | 621.61$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…a2c9backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 608.63$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 600$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…df98backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 598.74$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed 9z | 17c | 590.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed 9z | 27c | 575.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed 9z | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…78c2backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed 9z | 15c | 542.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 539.42$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.95 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 425 | 38.6%164 W · 261 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 9z | 35c | 534.84$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 528.82$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.39 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 525.43$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 520$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed 9z | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 496.14$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.34 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 471.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 470.42$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.28 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed 9z | 17c | 457.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.