CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x415ae71b8786c44cabd2d133c70f419c56c17e39ee7cd12d834c5fe9089a83df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked 9z | 35c | 30,000$10,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,489.39 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 9z | 24c | 28,047$6,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,663.78 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 12,572$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,893.05 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed 9z | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed 9z | 45c | 7,285$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.07 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 6,750$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.5 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 6,540$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.59 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 6,203$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.24 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 6,062$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.65 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed 9z | 34c | 5,958$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 9z | 53c | 5,380$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.4 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked 9z | 2c | 4,127$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 9z | 48c | 4,000$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 3,863$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.16 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 9z | 54c | 3,550$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.99 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 3,533$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.46 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed 9z | 59c | 3,395$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 3,295$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.67 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed 9z | 55c | 3,079$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.79 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,981$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.47 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 2,764$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.69 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 2,756$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,749$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.37 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked 9z | 48c | 2,738$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.37 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 2,719$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.7 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked 9z | 19c | 2,696$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.95 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 2,275$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.04 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dd…642abacked 9z | 23c | 2,183$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 2,127$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.54 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 2,065$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.35 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed 9z | 52c | 2,019$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.36 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,000$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.64 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,993$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.88 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 9z | 9c | 1,934$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed 9z | 50c | 1,933$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.48 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.75 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 9z | 11c | 1,907$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.68 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed 9z | 53c | 1,881$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,863$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.29 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…a49ebacked 9z | 7c | 1,850$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,849$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.15 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed 9z | 55c | 1,650$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,549$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.45 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 1,532$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,508$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked 9z | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,469$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.15 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked 9z | 19c | 1,384$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.32 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,341$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.3 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,327$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.27 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 54c | 1,279$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.78 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…a2c9backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,271$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.34 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,251$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.32 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aeb…12b2backed 9z | 54c | 1,250$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked 9z | 34c | 1,250$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.5 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,232$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.27 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed 9z | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed 9z | 55c | 1,189$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.98 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,183$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.09 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,168$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.15 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed 9z | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed 9z | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed 9z | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed 9z | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed 9z | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed 9z | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked 9z | 55c | 999.72$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.81 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 988.41$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…6b53backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 971.3$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…f441backed 9z | 55c | 917.19$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 900.38$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.41 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed 9z | 50c | 882.86$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.43 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 880$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked 9z | 56c | 829.55$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.97 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 828.48$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 799.97$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.98 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed 9z | 56c | 792.86$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked 9z | 56c | 743.36$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.08 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 741.85$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.02 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 731.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.98 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 727.5$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 710.51$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.86 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked 9z | 54c | 709.07$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.57 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed 9z | 56c | 696.19$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.87 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked 9z | 47c | 688.66$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.67 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 680$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 675$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.25 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked 9z | 56c | 660.71$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…c2f5backed 9z | 13c | 649.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 645.25$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.43 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 614$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.42 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 9z | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 578.28$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.84 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked 9z | 54c | 556.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed 9z | 54c | 552.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 550.52$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.28 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed 9z | 55c | 538.88$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 529.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.4 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.