CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f34d18b1bf82f64dff87fba3e5fafea43bd8bb5a81da1042f3bb594e087bc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof 9z, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba1…1733backed 9z | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 6,587$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 25c | 3,134$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.88 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 9z | 23c | 1,766$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.09 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 9z | 3c | 1,764$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 1,310$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.28 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…a7babacked 9z | 26c | 920$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed 9z | 25c | 815.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed 9z | 25c | 768.34$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 766$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 9z | 22c | 724.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 661.92$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed 9z | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked 9z | 25c | 472.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 470.43$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 446.71$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked 9z | 23c | 420$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 403.81$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 385$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed 9z | 21c | 323.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked 9z | 31c | 323.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 9z | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 215.87$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed 9z | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed 9z | 25c | 198$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked 9z | 27c | 149.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…8f8abacked 9z | 26c | 120.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 108.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed 9z | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…1daebacked 9z | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed 9z | 25c | 93.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed 9z | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 84.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked 9z | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…1270backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 76.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed 9z | 29c | 64.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 64.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 9z | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 54.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 324 | 47.2%153 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed 9z | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed 9z | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 44.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed 9z | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 34.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 29.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.