TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd925…f36f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
221
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$265.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$181.58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$611.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$487.51
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.63
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$749.93
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.18
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$88.82
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+98%+$49.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+170.6%+$157.6
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$400.93
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.81
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+195.4%+$1,594.07
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.99
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$126.86
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$250.75
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.96
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$952.38
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,599.47
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$111.19
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,158.5
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.76
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.93
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.67
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$337.78
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.84
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$63.41
Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.93
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$204.07
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$874.36
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.57
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+161.6%+$61.77
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$383
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.72
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$315
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.84
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$44.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$67.96
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,605Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$895.18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.1
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$47.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.5
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$90.41
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$104.82
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$303.6
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.14
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.73
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.73
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.98
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$229.06
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.19
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,530
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$810
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,079.96
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.24
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$170.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heat (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$216.74
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$786
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$110.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon reach $260 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$35.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Cruz: Juan Bautista Torres vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+64.8%+$172.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$355.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.