Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a8caba5559bc21e14f6b2aa504cb14a1782751658b71409e25b82e432c0a97

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,152,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,964,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,152,808 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes	68c	522,830$354,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354,049.03	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes	9c	521,452$44,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,898.49	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No	56c	402,498$225,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177,276.86	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	8c	329,786$25,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,590.55	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	32c	306,933$96,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96,887.71	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked No	42c	249,131$104,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144,403.41	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x440a…035abacked Yes	9c	172,599$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd22…ad91backed Yes	53c	150,000$80,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80,169.42	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa022…77f8backed No	34c	145,526$50,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95,368.16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc931…c416backed Yes	8c	135,000$10,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,125	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	15c	123,929$18,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,777.27	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a7…e36abacked Yes	8c	122,065$9,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,448	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes	5c	121,428$6,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,373.55	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked Yes	8c	110,730$8,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,500	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x620d…c67fbacked Yes	7c	101,417$7,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,358	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…e364backed Yes	0c	95,143$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	31c	74,239$23,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,008.18	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No	80c	74,166$59,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,930.31	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Yes	5c	71,285$3,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,705.64	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	56c	68,474$38,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,433.72	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	43c	67,318$28,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,787.52	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	15c	66,264$10,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,186.31	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	31c	65,976$20,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,497.77	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	50c	65,939$32,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,783.46	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes	39c	65,319$25,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,436.4	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	15c	64,129$9,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,577.89	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d5…0178backed Yes	8c	62,869$4,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,837.93	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No	35c	61,702$21,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,145.08	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes	39c	61,356$24,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,121.4	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	15c	59,592$8,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,861.89	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	53c	59,203$31,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,648.73	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes	70c	55,275$38,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,598.73	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7110…b042backed Yes	40c	55,169$21,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,929.53	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes	36c	54,722$19,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,941.67	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa81e…03dcbacked No	38c	54,252$20,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,658.64	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes	7c	50,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	34c	49,988$16,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,890.29	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes	26c	47,962$12,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,657.38	290	18.6%54 W · 236 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No	53c	45,614$24,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,292.6	188	43.6%82 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0677…1477backed Yes	6c	44,276$2,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,596.85	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc896…2551backed Yes	1c	43,223$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Yes	3c	40,671$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.06	275	43.6%120 W · 155 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked No	35c	39,999$13,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,175.76	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes	34c	39,205$13,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,260.47	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Yes	2c	38,302$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.38	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked No	71c	36,590$25,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,768.14	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	35,825$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.53	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes	8c	33,458$2,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,768.27	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-77%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes	42c	33,339$14,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,070	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No	48c	31,777$15,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,468.86	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29cd…972abacked Yes	26c	30,675$7,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,868.56	65	30.8%20 W · 45 L	+7.1wins	+0.11per pick	20cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Yes	0c	30,370$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.59	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	34c	29,949$10,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,046.26	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No	36c	29,588$10,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,007.15	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e70…9a9cbacked Yes	65c	28,699$18,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,781.77	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+62%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b51…ad13backed Yes	53c	27,871$14,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,639.86	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed No	73c	27,866$20,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,481.1	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc74d…bb53backed No	59c	27,226$16,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,141.39	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	50c	26,033$13,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,077.56	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	4c	25,832$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.49	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	47c	25,624$12,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,560.58	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes	8c	25,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	68c	24,784$16,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,887.8	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…e49ebacked No	42c	24,707$10,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,206.54	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784b…ee3bbacked Yes	0c	23,764$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.48	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae95…7adabacked Yes	48c	23,130$11,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,119.97	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes	22c	22,794$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes	7c	22,222$1,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,622.21	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Yes	41c	22,084$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Yes	34c	21,734$7,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,409.85	210	52.4%110 W · 100 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee9…a2d7backed Yes	7c	21,615$1,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes	5c	20,787$1,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129.73	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x059d…52d5backed Yes	35c	20,556$7,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,274.09	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x819d…6e9cbacked No	37c	19,367$7,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,222.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ac…2613backed Yes	24c	19,183$4,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,593.24	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes	7c	19,041$1,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.37	106	34%36 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Yes	58c	19,000$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+5.3wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6e9…0741backed No	61c	18,988$11,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,382.36	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	23c	18,809$4,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,254.99	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes	1c	18,456$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.96	50	4%2 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	29c	18,000$5,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,180.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	52c	17,149$8,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,306.13	484	38.2%185 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	67c	16,930$11,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,659.87	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd7…b2dbbacked Yes	36c	16,160$5,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,895.77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No	50c	15,933$7,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,937.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes	7c	15,909$1,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.76	109	36.7%40 W · 69 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	34c	15,715$5,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,291.6	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes	25c	14,988$3,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,793.21	90	23.3%21 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd7…8131backed Yes	8c	14,912$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.01	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb45…fd40backed Yes	1c	14,823$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7541…6d98backed Yes	32c	14,751$4,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,766.13	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	69c	14,731$10,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,631.75	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	62c	14,713$9,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,538.43	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	46c	14,256$6,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,748.89	179	53.6%96 W · 83 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	53c	14,225$7,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,641.01	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes	38c	13,805$5,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,228.95	15	20%3 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc269…7343backed Yes	8c	13,791$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	31c	13,782$4,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,462.67	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f5…3ccfbacked Yes	1c	13,779$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes	44c	13,671$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event