Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x624517215cc5c73eec1ff74db2ef92bf798fac6b61cd00d11a05418520290f69

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,120,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,703,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,120,566 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9449…d829backed Yes	1c	752,376$8,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,203.47	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2f…b61bbacked Yes	0c	309,345$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.38	16	0%0 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes	6c	68,417$4,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,079.54	290	18.6%54 W · 236 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	58,122$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,304.94	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	57,352$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.13	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes	0c	55,904$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.29	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	1c	55,814$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.47	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	20c	46,945$9,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,387.48	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	2c	46,461$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.72	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes	0c	43,371$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.84	197	13.7%27 W · 170 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	0c	40,720$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.24	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	2c	40,045$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.2	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	3c	31,676$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.58	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc43d…8f2bbacked Yes	1c	31,368$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.19	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes	0c	29,075$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes	0c	26,149$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.58	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe94…da00backed Yes	0c	25,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	0c	22,486$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.61	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc698…b8d0backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7164…9db6backed Yes	8c	18,468$1,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,569.38	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e57…53b3backed Yes	0c	18,002$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.65	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819d…6e9cbacked Yes	0c	18,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	10c	17,597$1,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.62	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	1c	17,106$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.47	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes	0c	16,816$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	123	27.6%34 W · 89 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x326f…802dbacked Yes	6c	16,292$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.76	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Yes	0c	15,089$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.57	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	1c	13,983$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.3	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	1cpaid	+1,149.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf25…be9ebacked Yes	0c	13,290$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	0c	13,079$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes	1c	12,958$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	45	2.2%1 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes	2c	12,951$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.58	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes	1c	11,332$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.06	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	1c	11,313$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.45	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacc…2eacbacked Yes	1c	11,206$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-79%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes	1c	11,066$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.58	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-77%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	0c	10,947$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.93	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	10,795$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.79	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae1…d8a2backed Yes	2c	10,623$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.57	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891e…c1c9backed Yes	0c	10,477$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.59	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbf…bd19backed Yes	9c	10,345$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.24	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Yes	2c	10,042$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.26	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes	8c	9,875$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.49	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	0c	9,668$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.67	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e6…7aa6backed Yes	1c	9,498$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.85	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	1c	9,382$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.63	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes	3c	9,262$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes	4c	8,921$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.11	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes	2c	8,869$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	8,863$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.94	56	3.6%2 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes	2c	8,778$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.94	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	8,767$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.05	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d99…7e57backed Yes	2c	8,258$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c0…e07fbacked Yes	2c	7,865$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.9	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.19per pick	25cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc18f…73ebbacked Yes	7c	6,976$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.91	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80fe…d375backed Yes	1c	6,870$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5559…05c0backed Yes	7c	6,757$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	16cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…6486backed Yes	3c	6,448$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x862e…7972backed Yes	6c	6,304$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.33	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa252…dbf4backed Yes	9c	6,210$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.43	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc177…7fbbbacked Yes	2c	6,189$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.82	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x189e…64c3backed Yes	1c	6,158$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.63	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	0c	6,092$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	80	13.8%11 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	2c	5,844$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.08	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3912…c081backed Yes	1c	5,797$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.82	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0c9…9453backed Yes	2c	5,741$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.08	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e44…affebacked Yes	2c	5,725$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-63%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3896…ece6backed Yes	1c	5,700$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	81	33.3%27 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked Yes	1c	5,485$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.91	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	2c	5,473$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.21	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes	2c	5,405$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.85	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	1c	5,104$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.88	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	3c	5,060$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.25	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c0…4610backed Yes	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…e1f8backed Yes	1c	4,925$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.49	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	1c	4,911$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.64	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4472…4321backed Yes	1c	4,848$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.29	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes	1c	4,678$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-7.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1d0…b08fbacked Yes	8c	4,572$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.84	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	24cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes	4c	4,505$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.85	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4665…23a8backed Yes	1c	4,417$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes	1c	4,367$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.17	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes	4c	4,134$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.58	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0476…50b3backed Yes	2c	4,019$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	0c	4,006$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	54	1.9%1 W · 53 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-88%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Yes	3c	4,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	4c	3,931$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.12	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes	3c	3,875$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	39.4%39 W · 60 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38b1…01e5backed Yes	2c	3,658$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	-29%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes	6c	3,619$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.16	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	3,569$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.82	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1f…0242backed Yes	7c	3,552$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.26	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Yes	3c	3,508$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.17per pick	34cpaid	+41%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b40…0860backed Yes	1c	3,498$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.43	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.19per pick	20cpaid	+59.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4424…4cc6backed Yes	4c	3,399$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.81	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	3,344$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.05	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4340…64c4backed Yes	4c	3,300$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.3	10	10%1 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Yes	2c	3,235$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde3f…3817backed Yes	2c	3,225$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5c…0b0dbacked Yes	9c	3,111$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event