TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0476…50b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11249.1%55 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.72
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$5.7
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.08
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$23.79
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.93
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.24
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.51
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.19
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$127.39
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.99
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.35
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$4.52
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$16.63
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Modena: Victoria Bosio vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.48
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$54.59
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoianabacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$109.62
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjenbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$32.23
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$26.24
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$41.17
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
ITF Kutaisi: David Prasievi vs Nikolozi Sirbiladzebacked David Prasievi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Little Rock: Blake Ellis vs Tyler Zinkbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$36.32
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Lois Boissonbacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Little Rock: Erik Arutiunian vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$9.68
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chisinau: Pavel Kotov vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$14.88
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$4.31
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+32%+$6.64
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$4.53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$10.12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$6.59
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$11.54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.45
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$5.23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$4.03
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$4.89
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.59
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$5.33
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$5.72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$3.42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$6.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$32.86
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$23.93
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.76
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$14.15
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$32.7
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Bbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+153.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$4
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$4.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.