Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x428dd7dbb5fb23a27671394c541857a088f0f233a3865777d8fb422417917f7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 28c | 1,078$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.83 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 851.62$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 6,111 | 49.3%3,012 W · 3,099 L | -116.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 794.32$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.49 | 9,987 | 44.8%4,471 W · 5,516 L | +258.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 606.9$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.38 | 5,795 | 60%3,479 W · 2,316 L | -110.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 75c | 482.03$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes | 33c | 448.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 31c | 416.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 32c | 409.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 30c | 361.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 71c | 359.75$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 332.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…1ec0backed Yes | 30c | 311.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 10c | 302.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1,111 | 23.7%263 W · 848 L | +72.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 20c | 299.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 70c | 298.89$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 3,686 | 33.8%1,246 W · 2,440 L | -190.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 25c | 280.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 70c | 265.62$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 71c | 258.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 72c | 250.87$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 240$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 5,478 | 56%3,069 W · 2,409 L | -123.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 26c | 239.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 751 | 38.2%287 W · 464 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 29c | 231.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 27c | 230$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 28c | 229.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 221.58$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…05f7backed No | 74c | 215.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 23c | 210$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 74c | 202.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e2f4backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Yes | 29c | 193.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 184.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 3,821 | 61.1%2,336 W · 1,485 L | -35.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 70c | 173.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 30c | 171.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 569 | 43.4%247 W · 322 L | -32.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…571abacked Yes | 29c | 163.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 74c | 161.35$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 160.79$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 12,477 | 46.8%5,840 W · 6,637 L | -43.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 31c | 160.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 28c | 160.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 7c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 342 | 21.3%73 W · 269 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 156.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 1,433 | 52.1%747 W · 686 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 71c | 155.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 155.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 71c | 154.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 34c | 147.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 30.4%48 W · 110 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 11c | 146.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 71c | 143.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed No | 77c | 142.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 138$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 4,616 | 58.3%2,689 W · 1,927 L | -114.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 30c | 131.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…1d77backed Yes | 24c | 126.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 73c | 126.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 2,628 | 54%1,419 W · 1,209 L | -56.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 69c | 123.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 441 | 39%172 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 75c | 119.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 2,743 | 29.7%816 W · 1,927 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed No | 66c | 114.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 71c | 111.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 3,111 | 61.7%1,921 W · 1,190 L | -31.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 26c | 110.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f6…5078backed Yes | 36c | 104.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…ec84backed Yes | 25c | 103.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 31c | 101.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 100.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 7,231 | 9.3%675 W · 6,556 L | -1,115.6wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…70acbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…c1b2backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…2f85backed Yes | 25c | 99.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 21c | 99.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 22c | 98.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 72c | 97.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…d00ebacked Yes | 31c | 91.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 89.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 76c | 88.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 84.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 4,014 | 35.6%1,428 W · 2,586 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 22c | 83.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 72c | 83.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 10,848 | 37.5%4,070 W · 6,778 L | +432.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…f8bdbacked Yes | 30c | 82.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…bcccbacked Yes | 29c | 82.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 157 | 25.5%40 W · 117 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 74c | 81.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 80.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 3,411 | 31.1%1,062 W · 2,349 L | -37.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1423…a8cabacked Yes | 34c | 79.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…3538backed No | 65c | 79.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 74c | 78.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 74c | 78.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…b04abacked Yes | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 32c | 76.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 73.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 3,050 | 40.5%1,235 W · 1,815 L | -121.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…985abacked Yes | 28c | 72.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Yes | 28c | 71.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 68c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…24a9backed Yes | 17c | 70.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…f4f5backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed Yes | 29c | 64.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…0bedbacked Yes | 31c | 64.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 17c | 63.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf173…a94ebacked Yes | 33c | 58.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,093 | 29.6%324 W · 769 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a1…a85ebacked Yes | 32c | 55.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 35c | 53.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 713 | 33.5%239 W · 474 L | +33.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…f4f2backed Yes | 30c | 52.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C or higher on May 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.