Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea1ace523ffe43dfe7ebdf5791a6f97006d6bacebbf04179997f6e9e1e00c0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 33c | 1,076$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.31 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 2c | 1,043$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 838.7$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.13 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 43c | 745.11$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 68c | 684.05$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 46c | 664.21$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.15 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 19c | 613.24$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 36c | 499.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.98 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 68c | 482.84$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.19 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 66c | 481.97$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.1 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 16c | 478.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 39c | 474.37$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 35c | 432.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 47c | 425.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 42c | 423.75$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 29c | 416.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 39c | 409.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.05 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 396$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…6cfebacked Yes | 78c | 383.76$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 51c | 312.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 50c | 302.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 35c | 300$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 68c | 286.11$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…98d0backed No | 10c | 276.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 43c | 256.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 46c | 256.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 254.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 45c | 247.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f6…5078backed Yes | 65c | 245.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a1…a85ebacked Yes | 60c | 230.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 31c | 229.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 40c | 226.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 66c | 223.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 13c | 216.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 40c | 211.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 69c | 206.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…556cbacked Yes | 74c | 201.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 198.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.02 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 45c | 195.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 55c | 181.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 39c | 178.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 71c | 177.43$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 172.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 170.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…ba19backed No | 42c | 169.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 75c | 169.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 169.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 51c | 163.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 67c | 158.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 61c | 154.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 152.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…1c88backed Yes | 69c | 149.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 66c | 145.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 36c | 144.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…ce39backed Yes | 35c | 141.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…db6ebacked No | 8c | 141.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…cdeebacked No | 30c | 139.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 48c | 137.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 34c | 132.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 56c | 130.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed No | 22c | 129.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 77c | 129.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 35c | 128.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 64c | 128.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 40c | 127.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 127.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 40c | 123.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 41c | 123.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 34c | 121.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 42c | 120.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 33c | 119.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 119.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked No | 17c | 119.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…9226backed No | 68c | 118.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 66c | 117.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…707fbacked Yes | 58c | 115.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 114.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 113.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 14c | 113$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 109.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 29c | 108.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed No | 23c | 106.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 66c | 104.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…9899backed Yes | 39c | 103.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…e877backed No | 21c | 103.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 46c | 102.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 46c | 99.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…61adbacked Yes | 43c | 98.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 39c | 96.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 36c | 95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed No | 23c | 91.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…b70dbacked Yes | 78c | 90.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…8f19backed Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C or higher on May 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.