Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00f369b1b91cb9831fa23b205f21ffbd96ad221715a08621cdaca2aa883019f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 17c | 2,236$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 24c | 2,214$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.11 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 9c | 1,555$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,477$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 21c | 1,177$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 13c | 577.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 31c | 577.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 79c | 505.14$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…98d0backed Yes | 10c | 501.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 25c | 488.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 18c | 482.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 78c | 481.67$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 14c | 475.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 13c | 473.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 438.4$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 16c | 427.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 34c | 372.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…9b09backed Yes | 17c | 360.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 352.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…cdeebacked Yes | 18c | 340.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 21c | 339.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 69c | 325.49$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 16c | 309.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 77c | 289.86$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 39c | 282.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 16c | 261.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 24c | 239.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 15c | 204.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e2f4backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 17c | 199.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 17c | 197.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 26c | 196.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 77c | 193.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…6cfebacked No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 16c | 186.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…a069backed Yes | 28c | 174.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 173.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 18c | 168.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 73c | 155.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 152.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…b371backed Yes | 12c | 151.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…e877backed Yes | 18c | 150.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 10c | 145.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 17c | 142.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…aef2backed Yes | 14c | 139.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 78c | 139.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 24c | 130.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 18c | 130.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…3509backed Yes | 14c | 128.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 9c | 128.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 16c | 124.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Yes | 15c | 121.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 19c | 118.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 12c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…3942backed Yes | 18c | 108.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 106.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…02febacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…b669backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…aeeebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…1a85backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…cd28backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 24c | 99.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 19c | 98.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 97.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 19c | 96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 16c | 95.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 17c | 94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…1db9backed No | 75c | 93.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…e43cbacked No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 14c | 89.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…9424backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 28c | 83.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20a…7434backed Yes | 19c | 81.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e03…6ac2backed Yes | 33c | 80.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 23c | 79.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…3053backed Yes | 14c | 79.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 21c | 76.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 20c | 76.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 15c | 74.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…7ef0backed Yes | 26c | 74.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…e084backed No | 76c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 19c | 73.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 75c | 71.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…985abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d9…f161backed No | 77c | 68.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 76c | 65.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 18c | 62.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 62.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…b91bbacked No | 79c | 61.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 72c | 61.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 19c | 60.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 25c | 52.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C or higher on May 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.