TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa110…9b09

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-7.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$29.48
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-15.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$30.15
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.53
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$31.43
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$6.46
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Durhambacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Hampshirebacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$17.27
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Gloucestershirebacked Yorkshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.