WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b2f17b81c5ea3bb1b22b88657f0dda84d852c101e669cfa50546ade3914cb01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 3,592$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.27 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 2,443$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.63 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 2,147$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.86 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 1,176$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.84 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 916.07$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.38 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 691.74$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.2 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 471.07$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.76 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 63c | 318.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Dallas Wings | 37c | 298.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 268.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 187.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 150.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 114.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…9b09backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 65.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…ab09backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…a420backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 45.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 22.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.