WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd70fec5e73c8efae2c2f23b5c438673a35d2f26091a7220aa1a617125a163dd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 28,389$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.82 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 10,341$5,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 10,337$5,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.07 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 9,338$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.43 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 7,930$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,211.56 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 4,300$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 3,351$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.38 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 2,478$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 1,394$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.44 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 1,389$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.06 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 914.78$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.39 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 796.06$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.07 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…e6f8backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 688.62$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 374.07$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 327.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 291.79$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 248.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 222.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 113.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dallas Wings | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf46…8734backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 89.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 84.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 78.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…a420backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 71.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 71.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 57.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 50.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 46.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 44.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 41.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 34.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 22.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.