WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1e7eed53baa391256c6cefeb84853691969fa173dbe26f38dc537b508d0a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 10,314$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,247.04 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 20c | 10,131$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.87 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 8,379$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.3 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 52c | 5,063$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.65 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 4,083$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.58 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 3,995$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.92 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Over | 80c | 3,014$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Over | 47c | 2,840$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.18 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 48c | 2,158$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.33 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 47c | 1,955$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 1,282$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 1,197$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.47 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 49c | 867.21$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 50c | 844$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Under | 35c | 785.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 772.98$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.22 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 748.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.54 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 54c | 674.07$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 554.9$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.05 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 54c | 379.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 47c | 370.91$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.58 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 250.44$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 8c | 216.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 194.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 55c | 178.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 51c | 156.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed Under | 27c | 149.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 131$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed Under | 53c | 105.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 54c | 89.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 51c | 88.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 30c | 87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Over | 48c | 63.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…56c7backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 66c | 30.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…6801backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 51c | 24.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Over | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Under | 52c | 21.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.