WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16e57e7aa2a6af6e137de83409cc26960920cccaf3331d9a7f0a1842083f2631
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 8,152$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.93 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 8,117$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545.43 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 1,023$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.12 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 13c | 849.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…e6f8backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 636.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 374.72$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 361.11$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 268.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 213.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 182.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Dallas Wings | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Dallas Wings | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…ab09backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.