WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43ccf05d7078b0e37ebb183e9e97093e58460070dac0b8c4e7aff58167203e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 2,226$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.67 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 1,529$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.54 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 826.09$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.11 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 721$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.45 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 635.57$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.07 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 10c | 591$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 566.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 47c | 509.15$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.3 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 13c | 410.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 280.25$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 209.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 73c | 205.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 56c | 190.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 33c | 174.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 170.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 114.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 11c | 106.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Over | 50c | 99.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 54c | 93.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 34c | 91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…b4b2backed Under | 47c | 86.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 54c | 74.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 43.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 48c | 27.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.