TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfec7…b4b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.13
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$263.71
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,564Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$517.56
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40.23
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$129.2
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$19.93
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$7.41
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$68.32
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.65
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+219.2%+$31.89
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.79
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+187.5%+$30.19
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.05
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.5
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.52
Taj Bradley: Strikeouts O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$313.48
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$27.08
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$17.64
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.73
Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.57
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.44
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.73
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.97
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$134.01
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.18
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$26.24
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.69
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.57
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$60.83
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.03
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.22
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 25 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81.76
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.73
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$32.65
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$18.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.