MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4a007b1a295e37c6a4413734751f59de09f9026d89b9cdf2313347797e41a62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 29,726$8,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,084.34 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 17,021$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,021.28 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 10,545$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 8,882$6,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,290.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 3,346$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.11 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 3,041$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 2,909$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 1,491$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.23 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,354$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.37 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 1,237$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,091$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.23 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 911.45$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 820.64$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.06 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 728.01$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 516.84$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 421.14$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 407.05$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.05 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…b96cbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 402.13$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 390$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…92c4backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 282.55$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 251.09$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 207.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 204.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 184.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 183.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 180.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 153.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 91.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 83.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 82.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…b4b2backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 77.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 67.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 47.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 45.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 43.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 41.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 41.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 40.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 40.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 39.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 35.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 24.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 22.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 19.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…1d20backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 14.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.