MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd26aa5bc8f5388026cb9aefc4ee6d098983e0f8d3e5d835b589501b21ab1b599
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 55c | 7,777$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.34 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 45c | 3,559$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.29 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Over | 45c | 3,334$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 2,504$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed Under | 51c | 1,977$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 1,621$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.32 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 57c | 869.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 772.9$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 444.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.69 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 375.94$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 46c | 367.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.44 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 74c | 353.9$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 292$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 54c | 239.71$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 8c | 216$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 205.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 203.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 75c | 143.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 49c | 133.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 8c | 130.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 45c | 125.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 47c | 116.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 109.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 46c | 93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 54c | 80.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 47c | 65.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 46c | 53.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…6124backed Under | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 43.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed Under | 54c | 31.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 52c | 20.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…ca40backed Over | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.