MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x415775708d63333e75e6a1ba9515f09d5fc69eb89708e0a5df8bc338a7620558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 36c | 10,442$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 39c | 2,487$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.79 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5166…a238backed Over | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 9c | 792$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 38c | 472.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.66 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 62c | 457.02$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.19 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Under | 39c | 269.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 185$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked Over | 56c | 176$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d7…f0e9backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 52c | 124.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…b563backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 58c | 92.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked Under | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 23c | 57.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 47c | 36.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…0917backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +139%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…c2c5backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.