TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35d7…0917

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$11.3
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.99
Mexico vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$37.83
Arda Güler: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.03
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$13.4
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.78
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$97.51
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$260.4
First Blood in Game 2?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$45.01
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$11.65
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+139%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary Svajdabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$23.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.