Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e5640dff98d9c6546c6b108fbffc71d900887c90c3112d8ee18b2a8d9fb4b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 31c | 33,327$10,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,055.91 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 69c | 27,505$18,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,863.79 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Over | 69c | 26,441$18,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,207.09 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 31c | 12,221$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,432.48 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 31c | 11,333$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,819.76 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 30c | 9,716$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.67 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Over | 70c | 3,440$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…fb78backed Under | 15c | 3,089$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.1 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Over | 69c | 2,033$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 17c | 1,969$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.39 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed Over | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 67c | 959.04$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.55 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 68c | 912.58$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.55 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Under | 33c | 834$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.78 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Over | 76c | 799.99$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.99 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 32c | 712.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.47 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Over | 69c | 689.1$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.34 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 480.17$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 69c | 477.23$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.29 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 31c | 468$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.92 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 15c | 453.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.52 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 25c | 451.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.37 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…294abacked Over | 74c | 449.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 447$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.96 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…9087backed Over | 74c | 405.8$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Under | 32c | 360.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 25c | 317.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.55 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 68c | 294.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 39.5%105 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 68c | 291.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 68c | 285.29$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Over | 76c | 263.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…63f4backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 450 | 42.2%190 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Over | 68c | 240.3$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Over | 68c | 239.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 15c | 226.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 23c | 225$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…ae93backed Over | 70c | 207.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -10.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Over | 70c | 207.14$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 32c | 203.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Over | 68c | 203.07$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 25c | 193.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…172bbacked Under | 43c | 190$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 184.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 24c | 170$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…646dbacked Over | 65c | 170$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb282…cde9backed Under | 16c | 168.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…a16abacked Over | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…dd2abacked Under | 32c | 152.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Over | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Over | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 13c | 146.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Over | 68c | 146.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…caf8backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 61.9%109 W · 67 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…511bbacked Over | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…e08fbacked Over | 69c | 141.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 9c | 136.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 64c | 131.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 23c | 126$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 65c | 117.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 71c | 117.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 68c | 115.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 16c | 110.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 105.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…a2f2backed Under | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Under | 12c | 102.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 63c | 100.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 68c | 100.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8b…b299backed Over | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 68c | 99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Under | 32c | 92.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 403 | 65%262 W · 141 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Over | 70c | 86.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 79c | 85.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 35c | 85.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…d88ebacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 68c | 73.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 68cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…6a5dbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 26c | 73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Under | 50c | 72.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Over | 69c | 72.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 682 | 53.5%365 W · 317 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Over | 69c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…6143backed Over | 70c | 71.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Over | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 16c | 69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 43c | 68.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Under | 32c | 62.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Liquid won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Liquid won
- First Blood in Game 3?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.