TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Under31c33,327$10,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,055.911,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over69c27,505$18,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,863.791,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Over69c26,441$18,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,207.096556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under31c12,221$3,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,432.4823948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under31c11,333$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,819.761,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under30c9,716$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,801.6721347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over70c3,440$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40013046.2%60 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9078…fb78backed Under15c3,089$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.15040%20 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Over69c2,033$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40013452.2%70 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over17c1,969$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3916819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over70c1,071$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6903,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over67c959.04$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.551,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over68c912.58$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.556142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Under33c834$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.785050%25 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Over76c799.99$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.9929758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under32c712.67$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.4722748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Over69c689.1$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.342846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35015635.9%56 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under76c480.17$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.961,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over69c477.23$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2954529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under31c468$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9220143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under15c453.53$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5228341%116 W · 167 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under25c451.35$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.372,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over74c449.99$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.993151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c447$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9610546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f1…9087backed Over74c405.8$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-78.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under32c360.97$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9611538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under25c317.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5530731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over68c294.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0166058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Over68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026639.5%105 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over68c291.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048951.5%252 W · 237 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over68c285.29$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19413960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over76c263.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed Over77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045042.2%190 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over68c240.3$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.49735.1%34 W · 63 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over68c239.13$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.612638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over15c226.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6919553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under23c225$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.748045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over70c207.86$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.56338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Over70c207.14$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1457334.2%25 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under32c203.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.72213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-65.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Over68c203.07$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.097839.7%31 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.361,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under25c193.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4582836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6660…172bbacked Under43c190$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under26c184.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.512,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007844.9%35 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under24c170$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.761746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8b…646dbacked Over65c170$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb282…cde9backed Under16c168.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.431346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fe…a16abacked Over68c161.76$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed Under32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2577746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…dd2abacked Under32c152.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.158047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.513830.4%42 W · 96 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.524649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over13c146.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.471,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over68c146.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018752.4%98 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…caf8backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017661.9%109 W · 67 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…511bbacked Over70c143$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf4e…e08fbacked Over69c141.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over9c136.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6746452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Over64c131.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9834849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under23c126$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.73,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under65c117.9$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5922265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over71c117.66$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.61,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Over68c115.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5427356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Under16c110.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4176047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under31c105.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.051,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x116a…a2f2backed Under33c103.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.031060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Under12c102.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3194134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over63c100.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8631439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over68c100.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6370443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8b…b299backed Over67c99.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.993161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over68c99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1834742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0664…f7f0backed Under32c92.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.763943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over68c90$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.25552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over69c86.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040365%262 W · 141 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Over70c86.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.321060%126 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over79c85.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.932,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under35c85.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.941250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7b…d88ebacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over68c73.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3512341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c81…8f47backed Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-5.8wins-0.36per pick68cpaid-53.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014358.7%84 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4a…6a5dbacked Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under26c73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.021,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37b9…bf5cbacked Under50c72.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over69c72.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Over69c72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047854%258 W · 220 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e3d…6143backed Over70c71.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503740.5%15 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Over69c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.312147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under16c69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.672,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under43c68.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.422,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Under32c62.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.144440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.