Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd370b44ba743095c01c4b157e7f05f9aa04243898ff8f9a7d2d7dcf494f089e8

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $163,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $161,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,447 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x58f8…dc70backed Under	72c	89,201$63,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,270.99	403	70.2%283 W · 120 L	+31.3wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95f1…9087backed Over	30c	60,556$18,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,121.7	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	52cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over	29c	9,050$2,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,624.54	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over	29c	6,083$1,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.19	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Over	28c	6,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.99	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Over	37c	4,947$1,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,826.43	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over	29c	4,902$1,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406.94	218	44%96 W · 122 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	72c	4,167$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.75	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Over	29c	4,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-7.7wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over	29c	2,915$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837	169	33.1%56 W · 113 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over	28c	1,950$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546	219	43.8%96 W · 123 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Under	67c	1,105$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.11	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Over	28c	1,094$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.27	414	39.6%164 W · 250 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over	28c	960.71$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Over	36c	833.33$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	193	36.3%70 W · 123 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	72c	700$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	211	50.7%107 W · 104 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Over	28c	648.21$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.5	197	52.8%104 W · 93 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over	28c	628.25$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.91	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over	28c	623.57$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.6	905	37.5%339 W · 566 L	-18.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Over	28c	575$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	564	32.1%181 W · 383 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Over	28c	568$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.04	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	29c	395$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.45	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Under	67c	372.01$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.76	494	61.3%303 W · 191 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Under	72c	300$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83	867	58.1%504 W · 363 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	62c	292.36$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.51	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over	4c	251.77$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	218	1.8%4 W · 214 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	28c	250$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under	71c	210.37$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.8	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18e…706dbacked Over	28c	210.32$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.89	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	19c	204.29$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.94	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	28c	194.27$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	602	43.4%261 W · 341 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed Over	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	777	46.2%359 W · 418 L	+18.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over	11c	166.2$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	168	19.6%33 W · 135 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	28c	160.01$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.74	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	59c	153.24$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.83	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked Over	29c	151.72$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over	27c	150$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.14	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over	30c	150$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.47	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over	27c	149.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.49	217	47%102 W · 115 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f28…119bbacked Over	34c	147.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over	30c	144.96$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.49	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over	28c	129$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	148	52%77 W · 71 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over	29c	125$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.25	260	48.8%127 W · 133 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Under	76c	117$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.32	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over	30c	104.1$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.23	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over	16c	103$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	80	45%36 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	413	43.8%181 W · 232 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fe…a16abacked Over	28c	95.46$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.73	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over	28c	79.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over	29c	76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Under	70c	73.97$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.19	246	56.1%138 W · 108 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Under	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	186	65.6%122 W · 64 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Under	72c	70$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06a1…9077backed Under	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-6.6wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Over	29c	68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under	72c	66.48$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.61	113	69%78 W · 35 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	31c	65.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	493	46.5%229 W · 264 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	657	54.5%358 W · 299 L	-17.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5d…57d3backed Under	67c	60$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	64c	60$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	19c	59.69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under	61c	59.06$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.94	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over	23c	58.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	307	31.6%97 W · 210 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Over	28c	53.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa004…e6e6backed Under	71c	49.19$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.16	29	89.7%26 W · 3 L	+6.1wins	+0.21per pick	69cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Over	28c	44.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Over	28c	44.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.34	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over	27c	43.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	324	57.7%187 W · 137 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Under	72c	41.09$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.51	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under	72c	37.45$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.41	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e1…c227backed Under	72c	34.72$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.72	80	83.8%67 W · 13 L	+11.2wins	+0.14per pick	70cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over	35c	30.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-5.5wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-37%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9169…0359backed Under	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf21…d34abacked Under	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	144	61.8%89 W · 55 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	72c	27.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.64	163	46%75 W · 88 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Under	70c	25.71$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.71	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	72c	20.11$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	395	55.2%218 W · 177 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?Team Liquid won
First Blood in Game 2?Team Liquid won
First Blood in Game 3?Karmine Corp won
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Team Liquid won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InTeam Liquid won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event