TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6f8…7fa1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
808
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT77746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 777 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.21
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Lodis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$622.53
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerbacked devils.one · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$270.58
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU (BO3) - HLL Playoffsbacked Spartans EU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$425.68
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$1,127.35
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$327.72
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+214.8%+$386.67
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$268.79
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$367.74
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$467.56
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+45%+$224.91
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.4
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$565.51
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$666.99
Showing 25 of 777 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$333.87
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.45
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Matheus Camilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+197.1%+$197.14
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Asu Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$28.55
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andrey Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vinicius Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$124.71
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kevin Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+442.1%+$221.05
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Mitch Raposo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$167.11
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Karol Rosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.5
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Moura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$139.92
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$144.84
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$106.37
UFC Fight Night: Horth vs. Bleda (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bleda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$368
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+222.6%+$44.52
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+64.2%+$85.39
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.