Lol · resolved market
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a6f577fd05c1f0927de757f7ad041a420cc08103a23d68c2d3ecf7391355c8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- devils.oneof Lodis, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Lodis | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked devils.one | 71c | 1,793$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.97 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed devils.one | 60c | 670.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.58 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…426ebacked devils.one | 74c | 454.47$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lodis | 24c | 413.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lodis | 26c | 316.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed devils.one | 78c | 305.7$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Lodis | 36c | 281.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…e9dbbacked Lodis | 40c | 275.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Lodis | 36c | 260.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Lodis | 28c | 173.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Lodis | 47c | 171.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked devils.one | 78c | 165$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 228 | 63.2%144 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked devils.one | 57c | 164.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked devils.one | 45c | 145.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked devils.one | 72c | 124$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked devils.one | 75c | 112$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Lodis | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 320 | 36.9%118 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lodis | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lodis | 31c | 73.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed devils.one | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 356 | 56.2%200 W · 156 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Lodis | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lodis | 46c | 64.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed devils.one | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Lodis | 22c | 60.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed devils.one | 72c | 60.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Lodis | 30c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Lodis | 30c | 55.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed Lodis | 55c | 54.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…0b99backed Lodis | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…94ecbacked Lodis | 38c | 51.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…2040backed Lodis | 34c | 46.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Lodis | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed devils.one | 60c | 45.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d3…c2c0backed devils.one | 60c | 41.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked devils.one | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Lodis | 43c | 33.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Lodis | 31c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Lodis | 55c | 32.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed devils.one | 57c | 24.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Lodis | 51c | 23.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 136 | 64%87 W · 49 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked devils.one | 54c | 18.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Lodis vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonLodis won
- LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 1 WinnerLodis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.