UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90947c98ba41df95d1ff61228203af6596042403672a0b5131741424c8beed24

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Costaof Charrière, Costa
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $217,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $235,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,158 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Costa	58c	46,473$26,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,610.88	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Charrière	43c	37,502$15,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,956.46	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Costa	56c	33,900$18,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,916.1	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Costa	56c	14,219$7,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,256.16	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Charrière	43c	11,182$4,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,831.69	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Costa	52c	11,108$5,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,357.98	905	53.6%485 W · 420 L	+46.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Charrière	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Costa	60c	6,786$4,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,716	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Charrière	41c	6,000$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,460	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Charrière	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.99	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Costa	58c	4,916$2,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,055.75	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Charrière	40c	4,574$1,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.5	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Costa	61c	4,429$2,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,732.68	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Charrière	45c	3,667$1,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,638.37	540	56.7%306 W · 234 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Charrière	3c	3,400$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Charrière	39c	3,340$1,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,302.6	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Charrière	44c	3,333$1,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,466.52	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Charrière	41c	3,100$1,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,261	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Costa	59c	3,100$1,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270.99	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc0…c9e8backed Charrière	49c	3,061$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Charrière	41c	3,049$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	91	64.8%59 W · 32 L	+8.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1918…20d1backed Charrière	42c	3,040$1,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,268.82	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Charrière	48c	2,954$1,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,423.02	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Costa	53c	2,905$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,365.25	367	55.3%203 W · 164 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Charrière	46c	2,904$1,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.12	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Charrière	3c	2,400$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Charrière	44c	2,289$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.35	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Charrière	48c	2,262$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,076.93	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Charrière	42c	2,143$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Charrière	42c	2,130$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.6	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Charrière	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Costa	59c	1,950$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.5	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Charrière	42c	1,800$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-7.6wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Costa	57c	1,652$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.46	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	64cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Costa	55c	1,646$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.17	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Charrière	41c	1,598$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16a…c7eebacked Costa	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Charrière	41c	1,500$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.96	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Charrière	47c	1,450$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.28	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Charrière	40c	1,437$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.67	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Costa	57c	1,418$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.74	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Costa	59c	1,388$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.08	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Charrière	45c	1,333$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.85	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x218e…0986backed Charrière	51c	1,176$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Charrière	46c	1,087$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Costa	58c	1,000$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.54	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Costa	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	60	60%36 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Costa	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Charrière	40c	999.99$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Costa	59c	999.99$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	178	51.7%92 W · 86 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Charrière	40c	952$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.8	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed Charrière	45c	919$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.55	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4811…8698backed Costa	52c	903.85$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.85	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Charrière	48c	840$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.2	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked Charrière	44c	804.1$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.64	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Charrière	41c	799.99$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Charrière	42c	782.33$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.08	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Costa	60c	750$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Costa	59c	750$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.5	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Charrière	42c	716.19$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Charrière	48c	700$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Charrière	46c	699.99$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Charrière	44c	681.57$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.89	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Charrière	42c	656.77$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.81	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Charrière	42c	600$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Costa	61c	597.78$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.16	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Costa	57c	562.08$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.21	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Charrière	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	171	58.5%100 W · 71 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b2…5098backed Charrière	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Costa	55c	499.99$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.99	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	49cpaid	+105.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3383…c5c0backed Charrière	45c	499.98$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Costa	61c	491.8$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.8	132	67.4%89 W · 43 L	+11.4wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2836…c511backed Charrière	48c	483.33$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Costa	60c	474.8$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.17	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Charrière	48c	444.03$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.52	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Charrière	41c	425.95$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.64	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Charrière	42c	424.76$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.4	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Charrière	48c	417$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.16	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Costa	60c	400$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	243	56.8%138 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Costa	55c	365.51$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.48	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Charrière	42c	360$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Charrière	48c	358.76$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.91	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Charrière	28c	332$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.24	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Charrière	28c	329$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.7	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Costa	61c	327.87$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.87	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	60cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Charrière	42c	310.69$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.96	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Charrière	43c	300$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Charrière	44c	300$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Charrière	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Charrière	42c	300$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Charrière	41c	292.68$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-10.5wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x980c…74cebacked Charrière	45c	288.89$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Costa	57c	264.74$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.74	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Costa	50c	251.2$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.11	139	40.3%56 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Costa	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd913…c45dbacked Charrière	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb65…4beebacked Charrière	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe148…e9d0backed Costa	60c	221.67$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.67	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	44cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Charrière	42c	217.8$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.19	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+6.5wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4579…9f19backed Charrière	47c	210.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Melquizael Costa win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will Morgan Charrière win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event