UFC · resolved market
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a24b9e9494be21a0df504d49306255d6ca11b3e25e6aacba66eb00e3d5785ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yanof Dvalishvili, Yan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,997,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,212,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,997,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Yan | 33c | 416,028$135,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280,098.07 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 221,640$172,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,879.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Yan | 23c | 200,081$45,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,144.25 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yan | 22c | 190,000$41,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,199.95 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 174,869$136,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,027.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 110,000$85,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,900.06 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 97,045$74,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,657.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Yan | 24c | 87,077$21,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,024.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +146%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 80,000$61,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,599.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 75,000$58,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,499.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 72,967$55,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.44 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked Yan | 23c | 70,436$16,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,391.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 70,000$54,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Dvalishvili | 71c | 69,170$48,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,807.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Yan | 58c | 57,822$33,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,516.44 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Yan | 23c | 54,854$12,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,237.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 53,956$42,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,085.43 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Dvalishvili | 10c | 50,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 46,000$35,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,419.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Yan | 22c | 45,455$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,454.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…52f4backed Yan | 23c | 44,046$10,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,915.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 42,110$32,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,850 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Yan | 22c | 42,047$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,796.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yan | 23c | 38,888$8,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,943.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yan | 22c | 32,219$7,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,174.94 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Yan | 22c | 30,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 30,000$23,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dvalishvili | 40c | 28,188$11,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,182.22 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yan | 21c | 26,714$5,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,004.41 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 25,642$20,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yan | 22c | 25,000$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,570.76 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 23,231$17,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,899.91 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4b…64b6backed Yan | 22c | 22,761$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,753.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Yan | 23c | 21,978$5,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,923.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…9b66backed Yan | 23c | 21,739$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,739.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +90%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2339backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 21,579$16,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,611.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Dvalishvili | 14c | 20,966$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.32 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Yan | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,400 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…00c7backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 19,361$15,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,101.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Yan | 27c | 19,345$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,187.71 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Dvalishvili | 2c | 16,976$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.52 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Dvalishvili | 76c | 16,524$12,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,576.93 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…deecbacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 14,894$11,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,617.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…7f88backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 14,423$11,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,237.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yan | 25c | 14,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.98 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Dvalishvili | 75c | 13,340$10,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,005 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 13,136$10,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,145.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 13,100$10,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,087 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yan | 23c | 13,043$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,043.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…9f97backed Yan | 23c | 13,037$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,038.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yan | 22c | 12,650$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900.29 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dvalishvili | 31c | 12,644$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.39 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yan | 23c | 12,544$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,704.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yan | 23c | 12,019$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,281.8 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Yan | 22c | 12,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,360 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yan | 25c | 11,920$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,940 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Dvalishvili | 71c | 11,222$7,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,941.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6352…6726backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 11,041$8,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,612 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yan | 23c | 10,870$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,369.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…2085backed Dvalishvili | 79c | 10,822$8,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,505.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yan | 23c | 10,550$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,163.66 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yan | 23c | 10,009$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +333.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +9.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dvalishvili | 67c | 9,282$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,251.38 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Dvalishvili | 22c | 8,774$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.17 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yan | 23c | 8,515$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,556.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yan | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,333.33 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…68e1backed Yan | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,333.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2054…533ebacked Dvalishvili | 70c | 8,237$5,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dvalishvili | 76c | 7,628$5,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.26 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…6b9abacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 7,463$5,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,743.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Dvalishvili | 73c | 7,361$5,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.48 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 6,906$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375.02 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dvalishvili | 67c | 6,842$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.55 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Dvalishvili | 76c | 6,818$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,181.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Yan | 22c | 6,593$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Yan | 23c | 6,522$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.74 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 6,415$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff4…29bebacked Dvalishvili | 65c | 6,200$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yan | 23c | 6,087$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Dvalishvili | 75c | 6,022$4,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Dvalishvili | 75c | 5,915$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.66 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…a55abacked Yan | 22c | 5,890$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Yan | 23c | 5,761$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yan | 45c | 5,673$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.45 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dvalishvili | 47c | 5,653$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.39 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 5,607$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 5,585$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.01 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Yan | 22c | 5,454$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.12 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…c53fbacked Dvalishvili | 62c | 5,429$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dvalishvili | 37c | 5,064$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.14 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Yan | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Dvalishvili | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yan | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…6bc0backed Yan | 22c | 4,878$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Merab Dvalishvili win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Petr Yan win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.