TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfeec…aa69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: UFC, grading 69 out of 100 (+0.17 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 69 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT6842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,559.63
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,224.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs HOTU (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,339.13
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs B8 (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,177.73
Counter-Strike: M80 vs ENCEbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.17
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+150.2%+$396.2
Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,160
CS: G2 vs The MongolZbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.8
CS: TYLOO vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+150%+$300
CS: FaZe vs The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,826Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$1,239.53
CS: 3DMAX vs Virtus.probacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$904.5
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.75
BLAST Open: FURIA vs. G2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,214.85
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. MOUZbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$350
BLAST Open: FaZe vs. G2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$469.99
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. M80backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.71
BLAST Open: Spirit vs. G2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,761.03
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$1,652
BLAST Open: fnatic vs. M80backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+102.4%+$1,086.88
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.46
BLAST Open: M80 vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,468.01
BLAST Open: Spirit vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$390
Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+49.2%+$1,752.98
Will Falcons win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$433.75
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3275%24 W · 8 L+9.5wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+84.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
UFC — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$7,800
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$349.97
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$220
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Magomedov vs. Pyferbacked Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$70.4
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+203%+$203.01
Noche UFC: Font vs. Martinezbacked Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.16
Noche UFC: Garcia vs. Gordonbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$195
Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. Stoltzfusbacked Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$69.99
Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. Ferreirabacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$113.22
Noche UFC: Luna vs. Lebacked Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. Donchenkobacked Donchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+49.1%+$157.92
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterlingbacked Ortega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$810.13
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.23
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$300
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$56.1
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$59.5
UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczukbacked Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$65.96
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$296
UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klosebacked Klose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+134.9%+$2,009.99
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$450.61
UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. Ochoabacked Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$255
UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Guskovbacked Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,260
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,579.14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12,429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$6,040.58
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.43
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,851Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$1,227.94
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$35.94
Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$584.8
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$348.18
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$504.12
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,506Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$516.23
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$320.45
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$414.18
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+413.6%+$343.2
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.25
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$60.4
Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+124.3%+$368.82
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$664.99
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$457
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,157.13
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$255
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,538.87
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.45
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.21
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+132.9%+$901.67
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22m and $25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.15
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$463
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $16m and $19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$345
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,430Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$1,173.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,026
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$960
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.