Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11a367fea8169759c13b9dbf4547e6fb8aaecfd22f87674870f5940e86c90bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,687,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,564,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,687,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked No | 2c | 103,566$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…9d4ebacked No | 10c | 100,268$9,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,587.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 5c | 58,812$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.75 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…1923backed No | 2c | 52,985$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 1c | 47,120$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 29c | 42,123$12,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,036.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb995…ec84backed No | 6c | 42,000$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…4b40backed No | 2c | 40,605$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…2196backed No | 9c | 34,319$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 9c | 33,931$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 4c | 33,704$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.8 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked No | 3c | 32,300$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…5166backed No | 1c | 30,569$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6a61backed No | 11c | 28,975$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…e09bbacked No | 10c | 28,728$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked No | 1c | 25,348$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 1c | 25,308$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked No | 6c | 24,799$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc3…3036backed No | 14c | 23,426$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed No | 2c | 22,210$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.21 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 80c | 21,243$16,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.14 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 20,239$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.11 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 5c | 19,941$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.04 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 17c | 18,142$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.65 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…9d1bbacked No | 9c | 17,763$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 2c | 17,462$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.11 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 17,450$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.52 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…07b7backed No | 6c | 17,381$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…99b7backed No | 1c | 16,952$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…10f7backed No | 8c | 16,449$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 13c | 16,142$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed No | 6c | 16,106$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93db…57a4backed No | 4c | 15,290$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0b…b474backed No | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…914dbacked No | 3c | 13,856$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 5c | 13,848$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.06 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…91a9backed No | 4c | 13,303$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed No | 1c | 13,259$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4e…62debacked No | 2c | 13,123$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 14c | 13,085$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.05 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24e1…fedbbacked No | 2c | 12,761$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…d45ebacked No | 6c | 12,392$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a8…6b32backed Yes | 29c | 12,164$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,690.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…b16cbacked No | 4c | 12,062$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…4103backed No | 2c | 11,617$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8270…0222backed No | 10c | 11,001$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 2c | 10,945$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b2…393abacked No | 8c | 10,933$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…f485backed No | 6c | 10,911$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 49c | 10,511$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…9d81backed No | 3c | 10,211$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ed…a61cbacked No | 2c | 10,065$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 31c | 9,808$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0485…4b40backed No | 13c | 9,344$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…67d4backed No | 11c | 9,207$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed No | 8c | 8,993$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 33c | 8,723$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.45 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…5533backed No | 2c | 8,719$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…1354backed No | 1c | 8,714$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…bbcdbacked No | 8c | 8,631$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2a80backed No | 1c | 8,630$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…d810backed No | 12c | 8,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed No | 7c | 8,272$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…0b20backed No | 2c | 8,262$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 37c | 8,064$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.76 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…cda9backed No | 6c | 8,028$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…a12ebacked No | 14c | 8,005$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…cefdbacked Yes | 50c | 7,985$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e0…5d24backed No | 6c | 7,976$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…aae0backed No | 9c | 7,886$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…9338backed No | 7c | 7,652$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…4cc3backed No | 6c | 7,627$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…b906backed No | 1c | 7,622$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed No | 1c | 7,588$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked No | 5c | 7,581$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…1db0backed No | 2c | 7,426$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4115…b654backed No | 6c | 7,323$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 3c | 7,300$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 7cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 23c | 7,204$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.68 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a4…3956backed Yes | 74c | 7,154$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd86…c7d2backed No | 1c | 7,145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…8e31backed No | 7c | 6,951$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed No | 7c | 6,858$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 21c | 6,800$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.57 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 43c | 6,762$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7121…afd2backed No | 1c | 6,281$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…6b15backed No | 8c | 6,249$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…4f79backed No | 3c | 6,172$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…8c99backed No | 18c | 6,149$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f2…a176backed No | 16c | 5,967$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed No | 5c | 5,830$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…8952backed No | 5c | 5,419$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…68e8backed No | 19c | 5,247$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349a…49cebacked No | 7c | 5,222$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…d6c9backed No | 3c | 5,216$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 51c | 5,104$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.85 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 45c | 5,068$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.26 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…9847backed No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.