TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71f8…55ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-59%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,571
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.64
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$487.29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$8,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,911.2
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$332
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,489Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+177.1%+$4,408.25
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$408.15
More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.61
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$798.85
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.5
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+214.5%+$681.99
Zelensky in Alaska by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$941.99
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,401Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+35.6%+$499.07
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$838.32
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+33.5%+$75.91
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+63.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,341.65
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11,445.42
Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$85.78
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$760.65
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+376.4%+$1,510.51
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,697Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+158.4%+$2,688.01
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+876.1%+$6,123.55
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.69
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,310.31
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$723.32
Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer by October 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.19
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,219Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$2,977.42
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+796.5%+$1,282.41
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$1,272.84
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+291.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$28.06
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16.32
Will France win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.19
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$234.52
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$98.6
Will Portugal vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+90.2%+$1,043.5
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$281.21
Will Azerbaijan vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.02
Will Greece win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+4,900%+$1,960
Will Germany win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.52
Will Austria win on 2025-09-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.69
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$840.1
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.18
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$1,720
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.25
Israel strikes Iran by October 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.36
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 24 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.51
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.5
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will the Champions League Final be decided in a penalty shoot-out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Champions League Final be decided in extra time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.86
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$15.66
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.79
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-80.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+76.5%+$130
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$336.97
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$119.04
Will Real Betis beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.04
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will AZ Alkmaar win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.35
Will Porto win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bodo Glimt vs. FC Twentebacked FC Twente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$132.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-75.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Usyk win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$1,439.6
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+69.5%+$624.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: France Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$657.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.