Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40a0e6dda06e91d22b4c2e6aa8dc3725b5474f66977f8d28b35a15147a958aa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 12c | 40,160$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.19 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 11c | 12,977$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.44 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 9c | 4,148$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.05 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 11c | 3,869$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.73 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…462bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,600$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 34c | 2,022$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.3 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…2aeabacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…abb2backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,993$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 41c | 1,889$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 12c | 1,555$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 9c | 1,390$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 3c | 1,280$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 10c | 1,230$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 67c | 924.49$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.41 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 74c | 608.7$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.84 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…e166backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 481.14$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 9c | 347.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 10c | 323.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…8714backed Yes | 67c | 291.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…a60abacked Yes | 59c | 271.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 9c | 235$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 58c | 229.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…e3c3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…c146backed Yes | 35c | 191.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…0e50backed Yes | 54c | 165.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349f…78c9backed Yes | 12c | 161.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…db37backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Yes | 10c | 127.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Yes | 19c | 104.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…ee16backed Yes | 61c | 101.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes | 12c | 99.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 57c | 96.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 65c | 91.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7121…afd2backed Yes | 11c | 87.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…3d66backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 37c | 83.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 63c | 75.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 33c | 64.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 52.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 39c | 29.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 54c | 18.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?this page
- Will Portugal win on 2025-10-11?Yes won
- Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.