Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal win on 2025-10-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe10190526534563cc1dd9b59d7361e80d2392661cf39cd55c6158b4ee446aa4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 12c | 15,500$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.96 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 11,322$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 11c | 10,557$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.3 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 12c | 7,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 11c | 7,087$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.4 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 20c | 6,227$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.19 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 6,220$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,307.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 77c | 5,561$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.15 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 7c | 3,161$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 14c | 2,078$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.73 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 13c | 2,050$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 63c | 1,918$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 30c | 1,873$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 60c | 1,819$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.53 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…1e37backed No | 14c | 1,696$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 62c | 1,603$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.17 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 79c | 1,500$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.5 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 75c | 1,336$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.55 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 20c | 1,288$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.65 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 1,253$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.94 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Yes | 41c | 1,202$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 79c | 1,183$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 13c | 1,140$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 18c | 1,000$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.23 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 35c | 996.24$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.06 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 23c | 965.73$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 33c | 699.84$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.89 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 17c | 638.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed Yes | 72c | 628.52$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 64c | 567.76$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…7f5dbacked Yes | 80c | 478.75$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 11c | 415.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 52c | 415.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…7e26backed No | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 39c | 262.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7008…c666backed Yes | 77c | 258.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…d892backed Yes | 42c | 227.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572d…bd7dbacked Yes | 71c | 166.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 14c | 164.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…03c9backed Yes | 62c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 49c | 154.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 13c | 148$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6bbacked No | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…2720backed Yes | 78c | 126.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 38c | 118.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…9d93backed Yes | 80c | 117.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 25c | 116.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 39c | 111.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 15c | 96.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…7163backed No | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 31cpaid | +253.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes | 64c | 78.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…9ababacked No | 14c | 71.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…8dc7backed Yes | 41c | 67.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 54c | 59.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 79c | 57.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505b…f71dbacked Yes | 78c | 50.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 38c | 49.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2d…8a5fbacked Yes | 65c | 46.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Yes | 79c | 37.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…e68ebacked Yes | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…3861backed Yes | 80c | 28.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…3f14backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…c165backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5670backed Yes | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…b3a5backed Yes | 69c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…043dbacked Yes | 68c | 22.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfc…1a07backed Yes | 69c | 16.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…fad8backed Yes | 66c | 15.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win on 2025-10-11?this page
- Will Portugal vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?No won
- Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.