Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacac1a4b66459802a709b2f2eeed96fed8f8982a6fa6a782c3bc29556cc5b5a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,659,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,654,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,659,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 24c | 416,219$100,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315,573 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 49c | 349,395$169,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,523.01 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 39c | 271,527$106,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,496.8 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 22c | 251,000$55,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,491.94 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…1472backed No | 78c | 224,315$176,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175,999.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 26c | 170,746$44,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,066.64 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 65c | 147,892$96,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,059.55 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 45c | 139,636$63,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,569.98 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 37c | 130,146$48,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,057.22 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 54c | 126,499$67,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,672.16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 53c | 117,093$62,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,082.99 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 52c | 111,464$58,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,467.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 68c | 107,295$72,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,604.08 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…fa31backed No | 56c | 103,317$57,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,838.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 49c | 96,566$46,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,611.44 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 46c | 94,183$43,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,548.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 73c | 68,487$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,487.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 28c | 64,079$18,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,049.58 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 69c | 64,063$43,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,961.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed No | 41c | 61,856$25,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,580.22 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 60c | 56,468$33,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,542.28 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 69c | 55,245$38,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,129.03 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 75c | 50,000$37,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 36c | 49,616$17,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,894 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 34c | 47,845$16,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,354.31 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 43c | 46,130$19,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,747.35 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed No | 66c | 45,120$29,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,609.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 63c | 44,163$27,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,768.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 19c | 42,741$8,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,252.56 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…8f51backed Yes | 60c | 41,272$24,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,593.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…f73dbacked No | 46c | 40,000$18,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,370.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 38,949$21,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,774.12 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 59c | 37,651$22,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,514.13 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…b615backed No | 78c | 37,275$29,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,212.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…ff2dbacked Yes | 25c | 36,130$9,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,918.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 63c | 33,240$20,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,408.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 34c | 31,860$10,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,148.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…6824backed Yes | 58c | 30,420$17,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,759.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 61c | 30,042$18,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,321.85 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 61c | 29,592$18,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,123.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…7a98backed No | 33c | 28,946$9,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,623.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 76c | 27,000$20,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,520 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 33c | 26,410$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,814.23 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…4710backed Yes | 34c | 24,139$8,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,963.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 66c | 23,184$15,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,367.63 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…cdbfbacked Yes | 37c | 22,878$8,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,403.77 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…03efbacked No | 74c | 22,806$16,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,966.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 38c | 21,664$8,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,400.01 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 41c | 20,500$8,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,394 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 64c | 20,282$13,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,022.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 32c | 19,400$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,159.98 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 42c | 19,063$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,098.33 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…6e4abacked Yes | 66c | 17,543$11,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.18 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +10.0wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 6c | 17,214$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.32 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 74c | 16,991$12,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,630.21 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 50c | 16,817$8,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,466.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Yes | 39c | 16,081$6,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,794.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 5c | 16,081$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee29…8c8bbacked Yes | 38c | 15,882$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,896.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 28c | 15,066$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,896.2 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 50c | 14,961$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,449.59 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 43c | 14,954$6,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,475.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 31c | 14,912$4,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,323.78 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 17c | 14,055$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,697.85 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 59c | 13,830$8,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,113.67 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 41c | 13,767$5,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…48e4backed Yes | 75c | 13,745$10,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 78c | 13,702$10,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,688.95 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 59c | 13,127$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.51 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…fb37backed Yes | 56c | 13,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.98 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 63c | 12,895$8,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.93 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed No | 78c | 12,888$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 3c | 12,562$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.82 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 57c | 12,330$7,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,241.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked No | 70c | 12,120$8,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,449.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 69c | 12,074$8,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,315.97 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…8e31backed No | 21c | 12,010$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 28c | 12,001$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640.92 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…0929backed No | 76c | 11,842$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 27c | 11,800$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,585.07 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…5155backed No | 64c | 11,781$7,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5607…fd15backed No | 40c | 11,640$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 61c | 11,485$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.1 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…4069backed No | 53c | 11,454$6,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,058.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 28c | 11,249$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,147.33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 69c | 11,040$7,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,656.67 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 39c | 11,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 78c | 10,917$8,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,566.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 73c | 10,852$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.35 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed No | 63c | 10,801$6,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,783.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 28c | 10,791$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,791.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…a018backed No | 14c | 10,776$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed No | 63c | 10,675$6,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,726.43 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +154%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…a669backed Yes | 43c | 10,626$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,098.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 44c | 10,570$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 21c | 10,266$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,068.51 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…82fabacked No | 2c | 10,206$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked No | 70c | 10,158$7,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,148.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 72cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 1c | 10,100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed No | 50c | 10,036$5,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.