TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52a1…7833

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+197.1%+$197.06
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.8
Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$51.31
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$400
Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.04
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$40.03
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.38
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,283.73
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,519Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,820.51
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+64%+$768.83
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$929.99
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$127.46
Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 Nicaragua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$253.98
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Germany vs. Finland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$281.69
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$123.11
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$882.65
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,312
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,645Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+272.9%+$4,489.47
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,633.04
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,216.79
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,749Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+584.8%+$21,923.26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,761.94
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.9%+$95.6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28,514Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+117.1%+$33,402.99
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$18,487.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$20
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11,064Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3,687.91
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$79.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+59%+$1,268.49
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,795Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$985.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,954.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$563.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.