TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No63c28,761$18,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,036.5498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes33c17,946$5,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,962.8899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes27c15,955$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,649.787549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No18c7,630$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.62944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c6,290$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.833,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes38c5,046$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No55c4,073$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.5722946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c3,515$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.631,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Yes67c3,500$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes51c3,478$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.725851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No35c3,244$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.810273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No63c3,168$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.5910644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c3,011$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.521,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21b…0167backed No50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd53f…570cbacked No50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb70…f009backed No50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No72c2,714$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.2613553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes52c2,656$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.481,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…e838backed No69c2,200$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No37c2,093$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.8111454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No55c2,055$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.681,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2378…9a65backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00041339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No46c1,954$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.2522269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe18…3980backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+201.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No73c1,600$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Yes59c1,598$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes54c1,393$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No73c1,200$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes65c1,167$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.7892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,157$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.1177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…5453backed Yes50c1,098$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed No49c953.71$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No75c909$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9314359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No67c854.92$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9147240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes38c837.23$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.8178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No75c765.2$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.96851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No73c700$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51112661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e05…c111backed Yes14c672.1$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+598.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes61c653.55$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No73c600$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No59c596.53$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5612247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No76c592$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9211055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff1a…4475backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No73c460$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.89457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No53c446.98$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23812343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No25c446.64$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.662343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No32c425.06$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.774663%29 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes35c422.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.29555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c410$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29216960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29214257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes73c372.87$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.167364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c370.42$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed No70c357.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes30c356.47$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5324859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No66c353.38$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0244350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.333842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21915060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21913158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes49c298.07$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1713952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No48c285.76$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3829…137ebacked Yes56c282.61$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4178…defabacked No69c277.72$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Yes73c275.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes31c269.08$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c266.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No75c265.39$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.042763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No56c264.9$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.028971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No73c260$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.811759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No73c260$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.812162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Yes77c258.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.625100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes50c257.96$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.988560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.58241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked No40c244.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes56c244$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.827962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No32c237.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1510319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed No27c224.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.433259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No7c208.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.748344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+90.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes46c195.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.451369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8fd…4373backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes40c167.62$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3610046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0f…27f3backed Yes76c163.26$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No73c160$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No73c156$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8814660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No73c156$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8814459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No75c155.84$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4318655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No73c140$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.216955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No27c134.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No63c134.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9520849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No72c129.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2319052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf500…958dbacked Yes72c129.45$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed No39c128.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.