Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af81faae27f7ef9ed8df385fb72b6a586c4126e2039423fefc5cdc45beebb6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 16,855$11,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.49 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 6,541$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.58 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 33c | 4,444$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 2,450$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.7 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 40c | 2,257$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.87 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 62c | 2,166$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.28 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,590$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.99 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,557$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 68c | 1,200$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 65c | 1,140$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.82 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 64c | 1,072$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.04 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…5453backed Yes | 50c | 800.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 771.1$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.52 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 681.85$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.19 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 596.53$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 51c | 590$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.49 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 42c | 580.12$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 65c | 509.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Yes | 15c | 499.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 69c | 429$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed No | 49c | 429$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 49c | 388.42$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 357.56$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 27c | 357.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 12c | 356.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 76c | 273.88$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ad…795fbacked Yes | 14c | 270.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 264.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 68c | 249$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 75c | 232$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 225.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 225.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…b0bfbacked Yes | 79c | 224.37$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 67c | 224.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 23c | 217.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 49c | 217$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 46c | 213.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 55c | 179.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 178.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 24c | 174.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 27c | 164.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 155.25$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 67c | 141.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 64c | 141$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 72c | 139.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed No | 44c | 131$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 31c | 129.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 32c | 124.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 12c | 119$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Yes | 71c | 118$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…b68ebacked Yes | 25c | 118$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 11c | 107.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…2462backed No | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +288.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 25c | 104.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 49c | 104.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 68c | 102.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 13c | 93.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 39c | 93.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 58c | 88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 49c | 84.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 67c | 83.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Yes | 12c | 83.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Yes | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 76.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 72.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 67c | 72.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Yes | 74c | 70.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…7ed9backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…1279backed Yes | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…2ebfbacked Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 50.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 21c | 49.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 46c | 49.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 52c | 49.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c6…0b4dbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.