TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0c6…0b4d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$44.41
Astana: Jie Cui vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicakbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlinbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Lucija Bagaricbacked Lucija Bagaric · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenziebacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$15.56
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontamabacked Mai Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$38.17
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$9.77
Palermo: Dalila Spiteri vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Dalila Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bloomfield Hills: Roger Pascual vs Andres Martinbacked Roger Pascual · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Erika Andreevabacked Erika Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+507.3%+$126.82
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Estoril Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tiago Torresbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Livesport Prague Open: Maya Joint vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$37.03
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.46
Segovia: Yi Zhou vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+60%+$18.41
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.21
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$4.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.23
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.