TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Palermo: Dalila Spiteri vs Lucia Bronzetti

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lucia Bronzettiof Dalila Spiteri, Lucia Bronzetti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Dalila Spiteri5c24,114$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.419,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dalila Spiteri7c16,867$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.448,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Dalila Spiteri11c6,946$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.744,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef53…4591backed Dalila Spiteri14c6,547$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90017543.4%76 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Dalila Spiteri9c5,913$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.241,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dalila Spiteri7c5,793$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.4211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Dalila Spiteri5c4,476$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.873,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Dalila Spiteri7c4,062$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1632329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Dalila Spiteri13c3,946$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.6746030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dalila Spiteri9c3,634$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.68,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Dalila Spiteri5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Dalila Spiteri9c2,472$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2436740.6%149 W · 218 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dalila Spiteri3c1,379$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.365,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Dalila Spiteri12c903.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2232131.2%100 W · 221 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Dalila Spiteri7c869.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7389741.7%374 W · 523 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Dalila Spiteri5c787.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6540527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Dalila Spiteri13c665.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0918542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Dalila Spiteri4c621.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519725.9%51 W · 146 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Dalila Spiteri17c595.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2248630.9%150 W · 336 L+2.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68da…37b5backed Dalila Spiteri9c565.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.734427.3%12 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Dalila Spiteri9c561.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.516233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Dalila Spiteri10c520.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8738141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Dalila Spiteri14c462.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6941535.4%147 W · 268 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Dalila Spiteri11c448.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Dalila Spiteri7c438.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2375912.1%92 W · 667 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Dalila Spiteri14c428.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.75446.3%25 W · 29 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Dalila Spiteri9c423$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.074,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dalila Spiteri9c359.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.761,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dalila Spiteri12c299.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dalila Spiteri8c265.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.116,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Dalila Spiteri10c256$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.65,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Dalila Spiteri13c255.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2667848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c6…0b4dbacked Dalila Spiteri10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Dalila Spiteri5c247.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0495050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dalila Spiteri8c214.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8453343%229 W · 304 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9a…3333backed Dalila Spiteri9c214.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.474344.2%19 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Dalila Spiteri9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Dalila Spiteri11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2275543.4%328 W · 427 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Dalila Spiteri11c182.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0559157.7%341 W · 250 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca1…2f58backed Dalila Spiteri9c172.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.893339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked Dalila Spiteri7c171.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.712045%9 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0d…6b6abacked Dalila Spiteri7c160$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5449.1%4 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Dalila Spiteri13c140.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6416051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Dalila Spiteri10c127.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5160341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Dalila Spiteri12c111.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.351,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Dalila Spiteri13c103.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371621.1%151 W · 565 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Dalila Spiteri12c97.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59631.3%30 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.