TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3b0d…6b6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT449.1%4 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
ITF Knokke-Heist: Jenny Lim vs Francesca Pacebacked Francesca Pace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Sumit Nagalbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
ITF Gran Canaria: Laura Pigossi vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
ITF Pitesti: Stefan Horia Haita vs Stefan Adrian Andreescubacked Stefan Horia Haita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
ITF Rogaska Slatina: Sara Mikaca vs Lavinia Lucianobacked Sara Mikaca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
ITF Koszalin: Tom Zeuch vs Niklas Guttaubacked Tom Zeuch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
ITF Lexington: Hanna Chang vs Jantje Tilbuergerbacked Jantje Tilbuerger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Vancouver: Mark Lajal vs Braden Shickbacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Vancouver: Mai Hontama vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Himeno Sakatsume · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Bonn: Daniel Galan vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlinbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+370.4%+$111.11
The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNallybacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wangbacked Julieta Pareja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Liberec: Kilian Feldbausch vs Harold Mayotbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Matyas Cernybacked Matyas Cerny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrenabacked Johan Nikles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Tampere: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.53
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.37
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$90.08
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.