Fifa International · resolved market
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b90ff59ef6a7d8d7c290225dc86a1997dc8b73918a4aa7381a2d9c7adbbd4bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b0d…6b6abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 2c | 910.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…cedbbacked Yes | 20c | 470.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82d…7f75backed Yes | 24c | 340.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 11c | 313.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 23c | 250.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 158.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 111.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0ce8backed No | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 22c | 49.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million?this page
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 30 million and 34 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 34 million and 38 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 38 million and 42 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 42 million and 46 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?Yes won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be less than 30 million?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.