Fifa International · resolved market
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4201c23e4e8ef9da656699321dcae73085ffdc2d00cdffa134500ad51e5960c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3998…42a3backed Yes | 0c | 189,140$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…3caabacked Yes | 0c | 47,830$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf580…d7c6backed Yes | 0c | 20,763$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…b437backed Yes | 0c | 17,900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a7a9backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…5383backed Yes | 11c | 5,599$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 4,658$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 77c | 2,576$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.01 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,118$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 32c | 1,429$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.29 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 5c | 1,373$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…983ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,311$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…0800backed Yes | 28c | 1,308$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 19c | 1,200$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…3d81backed Yes | 70c | 1,068$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed Yes | 6c | 999.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 845.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 824.07$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.85 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 44c | 821.31$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.34 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 8c | 800.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 48c | 769.59$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.61 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 49c | 663.81$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.05 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…dab0backed Yes | 25c | 647.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 5c | 629$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 7c | 598.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 567.91$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed No | 54c | 557.1$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 3c | 510$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…3f48backed Yes | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…f61cbacked Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 23c | 471.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2222…f221backed Yes | 5c | 470.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 447.65$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c71…3f1abacked Yes | 79c | 372.67$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…ef91backed Yes | 20c | 346.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…d904backed Yes | 11c | 329.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed No | 25c | 320$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +303.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…e1ccbacked No | 4c | 293.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,295.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed No | 58c | 281.03$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 34c | 279.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 12c | 279$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…25b6backed Yes | 5c | 277.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 271.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 29c | 270$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 30c | 266.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.55 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked No | 21c | 260$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…fa05backed No | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 67c | 249.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 79c | 236.11$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed Yes | 6c | 233.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…867ebacked Yes | 44c | 216.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…ee5ebacked No | 5c | 213.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…4b33backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…953ebacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes | 8c | 199.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d84…2c67backed Yes | 11c | 189.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 74c | 183.67$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 183.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 181.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…dd3abacked Yes | 36c | 154.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 36c | 154.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 71c | 149.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 188 | 43.6%82 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 31c | 142.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…6bb0backed No | 52c | 136.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…e1adbacked Yes | 15c | 132.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…b02abacked Yes | 48c | 131.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb62…ba7bbacked Yes | 79c | 127.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 70c | 125.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…80cfbacked Yes | 21c | 122.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…5c83backed Yes | 13c | 121.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +243.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 35c | 120.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 120.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed Yes | 31c | 119.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 112.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 74c | 111.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 33c | 104.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 34c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…69debacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd6…fb6fbacked Yes | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…1730backed Yes | 29c | 80.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 71c | 77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed No | 45c | 74.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 55c | 67.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked No | 68c | 58.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 54c | 55.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0ce8backed No | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?this page
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 30 million and 34 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 34 million and 38 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 38 million and 42 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 42 million and 46 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?Yes won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be less than 30 million?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.