Fifa International · resolved market
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5960e1f119e259d8711cf8acd9d9a87bf44e256e52b44d9b15fa467c10514207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3403…f041backed Yes | 24c | 1,528$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,397$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…f50ebacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 18c | 499.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 18c | 435.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 422.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 14c | 370.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 76c | 317.76$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…0179backed Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +176.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 75c | 234$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 107.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 76c | 103$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…0439backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 28c | 41.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…94f5backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…1a88backed Yes | 27c | 39.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 77c | 31.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 80c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 80c | 20.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?this page
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 30 million and 34 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 34 million and 38 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 38 million and 42 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 42 million and 46 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?Yes won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be less than 30 million?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.