Fifa International · resolved market
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c90a5407df3e13d789c81672808acd19d1986cb772134f4200fed30a0c7eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,344,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,404,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,344,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf580…d7c6backed No | 0c | 878,748$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked No | 0c | 192,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf757…8168backed No | 1c | 43,305$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…b437backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…5ae5backed No | 0c | 13,337$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 29c | 10,381$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,326.52 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…1377backed No | 0c | 10,110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…5383backed No | 7c | 8,767$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 1c | 4,802$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed No | 7c | 3,197$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 7c | 3,019$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,948$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.18 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked No | 6c | 2,179$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…d904backed No | 5c | 2,163$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 1,672$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.33 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3239backed Yes | 32c | 1,460$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 7c | 1,332$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…9e20backed No | 17c | 1,266$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 6c | 1,253$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked No | 8c | 1,116$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…d74bbacked No | 7c | 1,043$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 21c | 903$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…dab0backed Yes | 15c | 882.69$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.03 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 9c | 859.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 825.07$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.51 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 12c | 771.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 23c | 657.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 79c | 635.41$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.17 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 68c | 616.53$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.14 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 41c | 567.72$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.27 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82d…7f75backed Yes | 18c | 449.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 8c | 429.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 78c | 396.48$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 371.77$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 29c | 312.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…3f48backed No | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 22c | 299.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.49 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 5c | 297.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed No | 7c | 286.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 28c | 272$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…25febacked No | 8c | 235.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 20c | 230.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d84…2c67backed No | 13c | 228.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked Yes | 20c | 146.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 7c | 139.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…033fbacked Yes | 50c | 132.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 14c | 125$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 118.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 34c | 111.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 27c | 105.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 50c | 105$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5653…5d7fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +624.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 96.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 17c | 95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2782…6207backed Yes | 20c | 94.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 15c | 83.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c71…3f1abacked No | 65c | 82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 16c | 64.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0ce8backed Yes | 18c | 61.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 57.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…3a2abacked No | 80c | 46.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 50c | 32.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 78c | 19.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?this page
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 30 million and 34 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 34 million and 38 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 38 million and 42 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 42 million and 46 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?No won
- Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be less than 30 million?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.