TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b60…9c7e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
402
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT22643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 226 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,634.42
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.46
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$872.71
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.58
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,408.74
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,045.87
Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.77
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,709.24
Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$185.23
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,094Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,139.04
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,431Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,550.59
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391.54
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$1,070.95
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$735.21
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.28
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.49
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.36
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$364.2
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$928.55
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$949.99
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$132.87
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,126.7
Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110.51
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.16
Showing 25 of 226 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT7832.1%25 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.32
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.27
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.5
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$80.98
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.75
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$415
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+178.8%+$128.24
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101%+$62.81
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
Spain vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.63
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.5
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.44
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,995.38
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$289.04
Devils vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,691.91
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,204
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,741Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$693.61
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,541.53
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,635.05
Sabres vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$623.87
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68.75
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$81
Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.63
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$972
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.26
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,149.25
Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.04
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009.9
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$234.09
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$826.93
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$750.19
Kings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.39
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,151.31
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$939Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.24
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,351Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$665.62
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$745.95
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-65.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,042.5
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,639.05
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,116.57
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,662.8
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.52
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,704Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+269%+$4,582.52
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,288.06
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$9,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,680.38
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$34.5
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+62%+$413.8
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$33.45
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.92
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$372.93
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.62
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.92
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$1,048.18
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.37
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$23.34
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,643Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$2,505.45
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.57
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$55.9
All 19 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+129%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+64%+$123.88
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.98
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$453.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-1.5)backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$238.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.