MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02a7e87d80dab860a4198c289baec8ee5052fad5b7a5a453c5544b5d8992b64e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 52c | 207,196$107,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,201.46 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 48c | 95,531$45,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,676.22 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 50c | 35,661$17,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,738.73 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 31,837$15,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,918.46 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 53c | 21,300$11,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,289 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 48c | 16,140$7,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,392.54 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 15,542$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,004.59 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 48c | 11,786$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,069.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 50c | 9,300$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.97 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 5,764$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.01 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 49c | 5,291$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.81 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 4,762$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 48c | 3,828$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.23 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 48c | 3,147$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.16 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 2,546$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 2,453$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.42 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,530$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.7 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 1,471$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 1,449$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.3 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.39 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 1,077$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 844.28$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 50c | 755.17$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.46 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 739.33$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.77 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 704$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.04 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 47c | 700.79$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.42 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 47c | 562$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.46 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Under | 51c | 497.25$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.65 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 433$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 425.47$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 423.55$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 48c | 399$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.99 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…e973backed Over | 56c | 357.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 52c | 353.58$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 46c | 318.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 48c | 259$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 51c | 255.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 48c | 235.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 194$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 169.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 168.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 49c | 161.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 159.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 141.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 51c | 138.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 49c | 134.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 129.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 56c | 116.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 113.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 111.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 50c | 88.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 51c | 76.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 48c | 58.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 48c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 51c | 52.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 48c | 48.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 45c | 46.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 51c | 41.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 51c | 38.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 35.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 51c | 34.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Under | 48c | 32.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 197 | 59.9%118 W · 79 L | +21.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…e407backed Under | 48c | 32.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…327ebacked Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 29.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Under | 48c | 29.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Over | 53c | 28.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -11.1wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Over | 50c | 24.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.