MLB · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x654712801f3799409dffe221d2dce0f1b55eb6ba18f2c8d19bcafd0724e33f62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Toronto Blue Jays, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 45c | 10,817$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.31 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 9,802$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 41c | 9,143$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,436.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 52c | 8,033$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 5,489$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.65 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 5,143$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 64c | 3,524$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.48 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 3,085$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,596$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.96 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 63c | 1,492$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 1,377$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.3 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 71c | 946$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.43 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 696$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.15 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 605.09$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 63c | 577.95$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 64c | 509.84$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.36 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 479.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 64c | 467.61$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 64c | 429$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 398.15$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked New York Mets | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked New York Mets | 64c | 333.33$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 332.74$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.58 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 332$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…e973backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 308.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Mets | 52c | 270.2$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 255.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 51c | 249.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 231.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 219.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 218.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 207.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 196.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 182$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 180.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 177$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Mets | 54c | 149.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 146.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 138.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed New York Mets | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 108.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed New York Mets | 65c | 107.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 101.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 93.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed New York Mets | 64c | 92.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 86.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 83.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 82.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 75.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 67.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed New York Mets | 63c | 66.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 63c | 65.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked New York Mets | 53c | 63.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed New York Mets | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 63c | 61.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed New York Mets | 64c | 61.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed New York Mets | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed New York Mets | 59c | 52.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba9…1303backed New York Mets | 52c | 49.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed New York Mets | 61c | 49.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 49.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 63c | 46.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 46.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 45.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 45.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 45.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked New York Mets | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed New York Mets | 63c | 37.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 36.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked New York Mets | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…7d20backed New York Mets | 55c | 28.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 55c | 27.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed New York Mets | 70c | 23.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 55 | 81.8%45 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 22.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked New York Mets | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 20.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed New York Mets | 51c | 20.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed New York Mets | 63c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed New York Mets | 64c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)this page
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.