MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeced37a42da367a843d417a5bb7e5c985c6304f5f0c4f2451d1a021ce4e6e30b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof New York Mets, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $715,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $698,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $715,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed New York Mets | 47c | 290,970$136,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,746.76 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 172,251$95,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,038.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 75,000$39,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,250 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 46c | 60,000$27,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,599.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 52,640$32,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,583.73 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 38,857$24,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,297.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed New York Mets | 33c | 30,351$9,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,978.52 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 22,545$11,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,596.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked New York Mets | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 47c | 16,547$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 16,267$11,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,248.53 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 15,293$8,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,187.55 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 11,726$6,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,047.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked New York Mets | 35c | 10,255$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 27c | 9,626$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 32c | 8,716$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.16 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 8,255$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.96 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 18c | 8,239$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.72 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 7,438$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.62 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Mets | 46c | 7,396$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.16 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked New York Mets | 47c | 6,455$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.84 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed New York Mets | 31c | 5,709$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.58 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 5,611$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.31 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets | 33c | 4,485$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.65 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed New York Mets | 43c | 4,344$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.7 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 4,321$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.45 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 33c | 4,080$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked New York Mets | 29c | 3,508$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.3 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 3,097$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.51 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked New York Mets | 46c | 2,748$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.87 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,416$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,964$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 1,795$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.85 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,766$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.65 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,699$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.69 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed New York Mets | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Mets | 8c | 1,607$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,477$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.27 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked New York Mets | 32c | 1,428$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.08 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,338$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.73 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 1,206$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.19 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 1,196$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.79 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,170$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed New York Mets | 16c | 1,142$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 1,137$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.9 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed New York Mets | 30c | 1,070$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.93 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 989$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.83 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 31c | 980.82$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 950.48$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.12 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 934$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked New York Mets | 22c | 909.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed New York Mets | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 853.96$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.17 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked New York Mets | 12c | 800.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked New York Mets | 33c | 744.52$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 651.05$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.28 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked New York Mets | 11c | 566.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Mets | 17c | 533.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed New York Mets | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…e973backed Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 518.32$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked New York Mets | 32c | 499.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed New York Mets | 30c | 494.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed New York Mets | 41c | 488.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed New York Mets | 46c | 485.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.63 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked New York Mets | 17c | 475.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 456.67$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 423.37$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed New York Mets | 40c | 410$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed New York Mets | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets | 25c | 370$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets | 46c | 359.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets | 46c | 340$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed New York Mets | 29c | 330.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 309.9$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 307$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed New York Mets | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 289.3$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.08 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 274.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc883…4ea1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 274.12$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 46c | 273.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 22c | 268.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed New York Mets | 46c | 258.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed New York Mets | 22c | 257.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets | 30c | 241.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.