Boxing · resolved market
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31662a8fd3e2171b7a4892556b90a1065f1797e380a17c8186a39a6ed99af36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natalia MXof Clersss, Natalia MX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b9…3f67backed Clersss | 2c | 2,439$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Natalia MX | 67c | 547.26$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3861…b1babacked Clersss | 33c | 513.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673a…e805backed Natalia MX | 72c | 486.79$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Clersss | 23c | 484.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Clersss | 42c | 430.59$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…33c8backed Natalia MX | 74c | 337.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…4952backed Natalia MX | 68c | 323.43$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Natalia MX | 61c | 299.88$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Natalia MX | 70c | 276.39$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Clersss | 32c | 269.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Clersss | 41c | 269.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Natalia MX | 63c | 267.18$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Clersss | 29c | 231.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Natalia MX | 71c | 199.95$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Natalia MX | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…6dafbacked Clersss | 29c | 171.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…c273backed Natalia MX | 74c | 131.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Clersss | 39c | 128.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…c8acbacked Natalia MX | 67c | 123.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Natalia MX | 59c | 118.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Clersss | 30c | 115.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…2961backed Natalia MX | 55c | 109.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Natalia MX | 72c | 104.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Clersss | 49c | 103$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…7d05backed Natalia MX | 67c | 101$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…78debacked Clersss | 50c | 100.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Natalia MX | 62c | 97.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…095dbacked Natalia MX | 65c | 92.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…2813backed Clersss | 34c | 88.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Clersss | 53c | 80.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…26b5backed Clersss | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Clersss | 37c | 80.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…9647backed Natalia MX | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Natalia MX | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…475dbacked Natalia MX | 57c | 69.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Natalia MX | 75c | 66.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…380dbacked Clersss | 32c | 62.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Natalia MX | 67c | 61.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Clersss | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…2ffebacked Clersss | 36c | 55.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…20bbbacked Clersss | 36c | 55.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b69…4350backed Clersss | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Natalia MX | 58c | 53.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…1a8bbacked Clersss | 48c | 52.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Natalia MX | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…8a73backed Clersss | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…ca52backed Clersss | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Clersss | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked Clersss | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…8e8cbacked Natalia MX | 70c | 48.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…e826backed Clersss | 36c | 47.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…805bbacked Natalia MX | 54c | 46.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…fb52backed Clersss | 36c | 44.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4445…1156backed Natalia MX | 68c | 44.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Clersss | 38c | 42.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Natalia MX | 50c | 40.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…1ec4backed Natalia MX | 67c | 40.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Clersss | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…df74backed Clersss | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…f471backed Natalia MX | 67c | 37.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Natalia MX | 57c | 35.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…6ecfbacked Natalia MX | 73c | 35.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Natalia MX | 69c | 33.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Natalia MX | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…24fbbacked Natalia MX | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Clersss | 42c | 29.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 36cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Clersss | 51c | 29.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…4c0bbacked Natalia MX | 71c | 28.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacc…40dfbacked Natalia MX | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfa…21b1backed Natalia MX | 66c | 27.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…dc9bbacked Natalia MX | 67c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fb…ff14backed Natalia MX | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…c256backed Natalia MX | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…6e39backed Natalia MX | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…1d40backed Natalia MX | 58c | 17.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…3b2fbacked Natalia MX | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…7eabbacked Natalia MX | 68c | 15.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.