TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa0a…caf5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-79.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.3
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.42
Will Algeria vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.15
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.1
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynetsbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Miami Open, Qualification: Caroline Dolehide vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Elina Svitolina vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
BNP Paribas Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+141%+$35.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+133%+$32.25
Missouri State Bears vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$57.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$41.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$30.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.