Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7b86a3bac5881132afbb6f10fb19f90beca0e754a8dba65788d837a5c733bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Alabama Crimson Tide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $645,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $920,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Michigan Wolverines | 58c | 280,923$161,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,071.03 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 72,594$31,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,120.63 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 56,501$23,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,916.09 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 55,470$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,499.61 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 32,766$14,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,089.52 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 22,792$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,723.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 21,127$9,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 18,959$7,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,963.46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 14,006$7,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,442.91 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 11,491$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.58 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 40c | 10,709$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.77 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 5,921$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.59 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 4,193$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.58 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 3,260$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.6 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 2,401$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 2,214$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.08 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 1,667$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.28 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 1,410$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.01 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 1,193$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.11 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 1,164$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 1,078$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.24 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 1,000$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 999.5$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.77 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 978.87$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.67 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 862.01$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 36c | 744.72$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.59 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 646.5$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 580.04$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 570.89$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 562.39$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 555.36$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 540.73$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.33 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 450.61$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.77 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 431$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 387.42$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.22 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 332.09$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 323.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 292.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 242.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 224.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 224.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 218.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 198.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 192.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…7b83backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 55c | 191.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Michigan Wolverines | 57c | 188.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 168.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 168.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 138.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 122.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 114.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 112.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 111.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 59c | 107.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 103.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 101.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 100.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Michigan Wolverines | 21c | 98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 95.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 92.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 88.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…06b3backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 81.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 63c | 78.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 75.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…360ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 74.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 69.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 69.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 69.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 40c | 68.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Michigan Wolverines | 43c | 56.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…608cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 56.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 55.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 53.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 52.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 49.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 63c | 49.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 48.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 45.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 44.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Michigan Wolverines | 56c | 44.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 43.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 58c | 42.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…8008backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 40.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 39.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 39.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…029ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 35.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…b709backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 35.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…e28ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 32.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…e980backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 30.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 173.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 174.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 181.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 184.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 187.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.